All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Marion County |
Bill Farney Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Circle City Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
8/30 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
542 | |
506 |
985 |
504 |
507 |
638 |
689 |
|
740 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
469 |
534 |
504 |
507 |
638 |
664 |
|
740 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Marion County |
Bill Farney Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Circle City Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 1 |
Cameron Todd |
12 |
15:17 |
15:10 |
15:24 |
|
15:18 |
15:22 |
17:33 |
15:07 |
|
16:12 |
15:40 |
15:16 |
| 189 |
Malachi Lesnet |
10 |
16:53 |
17:05 |
16:33 |
|
16:58 |
16:48 |
17:00 |
20:14 |
|
19:06 |
|
|
| 587 |
Egan Williams |
12 |
17:50 |
18:18 |
|
|
17:30 |
17:35 |
17:34 |
18:00 |
|
17:54 |
18:12 |
|
| 701 |
Erik Eigenbrod |
12 |
17:59 |
18:02 |
17:42 |
|
18:03 |
18:03 |
17:43 |
18:04 |
|
17:55 |
18:11 |
|
| 766 |
Eli Burrell |
11 |
18:04 |
17:43 |
17:41 |
|
17:48 |
17:52 |
18:13 |
|
|
18:50 |
|
|
| 893 |
Jake Skinner |
11 |
18:17 |
18:02 |
18:17 |
17:59 |
18:03 |
18:30 |
18:14 |
18:12 |
|
18:28 |
18:13 |
|
| 1,081 |
Owen Reaney |
10 |
18:32 |
19:03 |
18:23 |
18:31 |
18:52 |
18:21 |
18:25 |
18:23 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
| 1,121 |
Nick Makowiec |
12 |
18:35 |
18:58 |
19:16 |
18:18 |
19:06 |
18:06 |
18:19 |
18:35 |
|
18:39 |
|
|
| 1,222 |
Jack Duffer |
10 |
18:44 |
18:42 |
18:53 |
18:48 |
18:47 |
18:45 |
18:26 |
18:38 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,324 |
Lukas Dahlstrom |
10 |
18:53 |
|
19:26 |
18:48 |
18:41 |
18:46 |
19:12 |
18:39 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
|
Tristan Villavicencio |
11 |
19:14 |
18:38 |
|
18:48 |
19:30 |
|
19:29 |
21:09 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.3 |
115 |
|
0.4 |
14.2 |
49.0 |
28.8 |
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Todd |
100% |
1.6 |
34.1 |
25.6 |
16.5 |
9.7 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Malachi Lesnet |
28.7% |
140.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.7% |
28.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Todd |
100% |
1.0 |
72.0 |
20.4 |
6.0 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Malachi Lesnet |
100% |
40.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Egan Williams |
99.9% |
109.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
97.6% |
| Erik Eigenbrod |
99.7% |
122.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
84.1% |
| Eli Burrell |
98.6% |
128.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.0% |
69.6% |
| Jake Skinner |
84.2% |
142.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.0% |
24.8% |
| Owen Reaney |
29.9% |
158.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
1.7% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Todd |
1.0 |
98.5 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Malachi Lesnet |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
6.7 |
8.8 |
12.6 |
16.1 |
22.1 |
9.8 |
6.9 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Egan Williams |
29.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
| Erik Eigenbrod |
33.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
| Eli Burrell |
35.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
| Jake Skinner |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Owen Reaney |
47.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
